Carl Grundstrom

Market value

Estimate based on comparable contracts — not a prediction of negotiations.

Projected AAV range (next contract): $953,400 – $4,971,300 (mid $2,508,350)

Most common term among comparables: 3 years

Regime shift — limited sampleP10–P90 · post-Carlsson elite market

Recent market runs −11.5 % below historical comparables — adjustment applied.

Comparable contracts

• Kasperi Kapanen (2026-27, $2,600,000 × 1 · ★)
• Blake Lizotte (2025-26, $2,250,000 × 3)
• Mathieu Olivier (2024-25, $3,000,000 × 6)
• Steven Lorentz (2024-25, $1,350,000 × 3)
• Mathieu Joseph (2026-27, $1,000,000 × 1 · ★)
• Tanner Jeannot (2025-26, $3,400,000 × 5)
• Christian Dvorak (2025-26, $5,150,000 × 5)
• Zemgus Girgensons (2024-25, $875,000 × 3)

Methodology & backtest