Matias Maccelli

Market value

Estimate based on comparable contracts — not a prediction of negotiations.

Projected AAV range (next contract): $1,838,700 – $6,526,250 (mid $2,962,350)

Most common term among comparables: 2 years

Regime shift — limited sampleP10–P90 · post-Carlsson elite market

Comparable contracts

• Morgan Geekie (2024-25, $5,500,000 × 6)
• Drew O'Connor (2024-25, $2,500,000 × 2)
• Morgan Frost (2025-26, $4,375,000 × 2)
• Cody Glass (2025-26, $2,500,000 × 2)
• Pontus Holmberg (2025-26, $1,550,000 × 2)
• Jonatan Berggren (2026-27, $2,000,000 × 1 · ★)
• Maxim Tsyplakov (2025-26, $2,250,000 × 2)
• Ryan McLeod (2025-26, $5,000,000 × 4)

Methodology & backtest