Kevin Stenlund

Market value

Estimate based on comparable contracts — not a prediction of negotiations.

Projected AAV range (next contract): $1,929,500 – $5,777,150 (mid $3,212,050)

Most common term among comparables: 3 years

Regime shift — limited sampleP10–P90 · post-Carlsson elite market

Recent market runs −11.5 % below historical comparables — adjustment applied.

Comparable contracts

• Michael McCarron (2025-26, $3,333,333 × 6)
• Jason Dickinson (2025-26, $4,000,000 × 5)
• Sean Kuraly (2025-26, $1,850,000 × 2)
• Alexander Wennberg (2025-26, $6,000,000 × 3)
• Olli Maatta (2024-25, $3,500,000 × 3)
• Zemgus Girgensons (2024-25, $875,000 × 3)
• Jake Evans (2024-25, $2,850,000 × 4)
• Radek Faksa (2025-26, $2,000,000 × 3)

Methodology & backtest